Thursday, May 29, 2008

Oxford Analytica on Bangladesh Dialogue

The Awami League (AL) today said it would boycott talks with the military-backed government on the restoration of democracy. The talks were only convened last week, following confirmation from Dhaka that elections would take place in December, almost two years after the imposition of emergency rule. Political violence and bitter rivalry between the AL and the Bangladeshi Nationalist Party (BNP), which has also expressed opposition to the talks, had threatened to derail elections that were due to take place in early 2007. The subsequent appointment of a technocratic caretaker government was heralded as an opportunity to overhaul the political system.

However, reforms have stalled and efforts to create successors to the AL and the BNP have failed. Both parties have linked participation in talks with the government to the release from detention of their leaders, Sheikh Hasina Wajed and Khaleda Zia (both former prime ministers). Both have been detained as part of an anti-corruption campaign, along with dozens of other politicians.

While the AL and BNP leaders are in detention, with the prospect of their parties being reformed dimmed, there is a risk of political violence and a poll boycott later this year, raising the prospect of continued, and unpopular, military-backed rule.

Sunday, April 13, 2008

Article 46 can solve Bangladesh's curent problem

It is good that AL will join a pre-dialogue today with the CTG for a fuller and bigger dialogue to resolve current political crises, which is looming in the horizon. Although the Constitution is the major source of current trouble in Bangladesh, interestingly, the solution to this current impasse can also be found in the Constitution, if all parties are willing to accept the supremacy of the Constitution. Article 46 of the Constitution can be a good basis for this type of negotiated-dialogue. Allow me to explain why am I saying so.

Artcle 46 of the Bangladesh Constitution is about power to provide indemnity. It reads:......Parliament may by law make provision for indemnifying any person in the service of the Republic or any other person in respect of any act done by him in connection with:

a) the national liberation struggle, or
b) the maitenance or
c) restoration or
d) order in area in Bangladesh or
e) validate any sentence passed, punishment inflicted, forfeiture ordered, or
f) any other act

done in any such area.

We can easily rule out (a) and can broaden definition/explanation of b, c, d and e has already happened in regard to anti-corruption drive. (f) can also be broadened with the help of the Supreme Court getting its reference on this explanation of 'any act'

So, instead of asking specific ratification of all actions of the CTG, it would be good to focus on indemnifying their actions so that a solution can be found acceptable to all parties.

Friday, April 4, 2008

MRS. GENERALS OF BANGLADESH

Sunita Paul has written two interesting pieces recently in Asian Tribune that show wives of the Bangladesh Generals are becoming more powerful than their husbands. It is alleged that some wives of army officers have even started collecting ransom from people by black mailing them by using the state machinery. Law enforcing agencies, judiciary and even the army itself are helpless in the hands of these nasty elements.

Recently, one woman named Liza, who is the wife of a major of Bangladesh army demanded cash ransom from a business house in the country. When the owners declined such illegal demand, this woman has lodged false cases against those businessmen and doing everything to harass them by using the influence of her husband. Despite written complaints lodged by the owners of the company, no action has ever been taken against Liza for reason unknown.

Here is Sunita's piece that dealt with emerging beauty and the beasts in Bangladesh.

"...a large number of beauties (mostly wives of military officers) are becoming increasingly influential in the society. They can do almost everything. Grabbing properties, taking bank loans, blackmailing, and promotions – in short anything. Names of the wives of a number of top ranking military officials are in circulation in Dhaka, who is no less influential as well corrupt than any of the previous 'mighty beauties'.

Members of the law enforcing agencies, civil bureaucracy and judiciary are always in extreme fear. They will have to abide by any 'request' (in fact threat and order) from any of the wives of the military men in doing any favor. It is the easiest way in Dhaka in these days to get anything done. Just mention the name of your husband – who he is. He must be one of the officers in Bangladesh Army. That is enough.

It is also alleged that, many of such mighty beauties in Dhaka are involved in 'Syndicate' which is cashing millions of Taka by increasing prices of essentials according to their whims and greed. Country's economy has already reached the last border of bankruptcy. Business community in Bangladesh is in a state of nightmare. They do not have any confidence of continuing businesses smoothly. Because, they too know, any time they may fall into the greedy eyes of opportunists. And that will be the beginning of series harassments for those businessmen, until he agrees to compensate that quarter with heavy ransom. Army wives are increasingly becoming more and more aggressive in their illegal activities. They too know, no one can stop them. Because, they possibly are above laws.

http://www.asiantribune.com/?q=node/10366


Friday, March 7, 2008

Kissinger's Memo to Nixon on Mujib's 7th March Speech

Memorandum From the President's Assistant for National Security Affairs (Kissinger) to President Nixon/1/

/1/ Source: Library of Congress, Manuscript Division, Kissinger Papers, Box CL 210, Geopolitical File, South Asia, Chronological File, Nov 1969-July 1971. Secret. Sent for information. President Nixon put a checkmark on the memorandum to indicate he saw it.
Washington, March 13, 1971.

SUBJECT
Situation in
Pakistan

...

While East Pakistani leader Mujibur Rahman has stepped back a bit from a declaration of independence, the full text of his March 7 speech conveys a harsher tone than the initial summary reports, and it seems apparent that his retreat was tactical. He made clear that something very close to independence, i.e., "emancipation," is his goal and that his movement will not be deflected until that is achieved. Noteworthy also is the fact that Rahman quite openly took issue with Yahya, accusing him of "submitting to the declaration of a minority" [West Pakistan] and asserting that his own Awami League is the only legitimate source of authority in the country.

Awami League President Mujibur Rahman addressed a rally at Dacca racecourse on March 7 and called for a continuation of the "peaceful non-cooperation" movement against the government, including the closure of all government offices and educational institutions. He said that he would consider attending the National Assembly session scheduled by President Yahya for March 25 if martial law were terminated, the troops in East Pakistan were withdrawn to their barracks, and power was returned to the elected representatives of the people. (Telegram 637 from Dacca, March 7; National Archives, RG 59, Central Files 1970-73, POL PAK)

Our embassy in Islamabad believes that Rahman's goal remains unchanged-"emancipation" of East Pakistan from West Pakistani domination. This could still conceivably mean "full provincial autonomy" within a united Pakistan. But it is just as likely, if not more so, that Rahman has come to believe firmly that the freedom he seeks is only attainable by outright independence. His speech last Sunday would suggest an effort to achieve his goal by gradual assertion of power without risking a direct confrontation with the army that might follow a unilateral declaration of independence.


From: http://www.profile-bengal.com/0313_memo_kissinger_nixon.htm

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

M J Akbar's Dhaka Diary

Noted Indian columnist M J Akbar's this peice reminds me a remark of President Thomas Jefferson: " it behoves every man who values liberty of conscience for himself to resist invasions of it in the case of others; or their case may, by change of circumstances, becomes his own."

Read this piece

Byline by M.J. Akbar:

A Dhaka Diary

Allah, worried about the fate of the faithful, called a conference of leaders of Muslim nations. The President of Iraq had only one question to ask: "When will I see peace and prosperity in my country?" Allah looked at him compassionately and said that would happen in about a hundred years. The Iraqi President began to weep, saying, "Alas, it will not happen while I am alive!" The President of Pakistan had the same question, but the answer was different. Pakistan, said Allah, would become peaceful and prosperous in about a hundred and fifty years. The President began to wail, "I will not be alive to see my country prosper". The President of Bangladesh was next. Troubled, despondent, beset by bandhs and the impossible deadlock to which no one had either a key or a clue, he asked when Bangladesh would become the dreamland of its founding fathers. This time, Allah began to cry.

The ability of the suave Dhakaiya to laugh at himself is only one of his endearing traits. No one needs to enumerate the political crisis caused by the inability of its two principal leaders, Sheikh Hasina and Begum Khaleda to cooperate. They hate each other with a passion that verges on the homicidal. If it were a personal matter, no one would bother. But their politics has shut the country down and led to a quasi-military regime.

But nothing can defeat the spirit of the urban Bengali. Dhaka is not the capital of a rich country, but it is a capital with a rich heart.The big debate in the city is: Has there been a sharp increase in the number of women wearing the hijab or the burqa? While there was always some incidence of both, Bangladeshi women have generally ignored the veil. On the face of it, to use a too-obvious phrase, the answer is no. Young women are as fashionably dressed as their circumstances will permit, and models pout sexily from hoardings. But friends insist that there has been a rise in the public appearance of the burqa, if not in upper strata Gulshan then certainly in other parts of the city. The familiar explanations are trotted out, from America to identity-assertion. But a thoughtful friend asks a lateral question. Could this also be because some conservative women, who never went out before, are beginning to do so now, and will only do so in a burqa?

The implication is that this is a step forward, and the daughters of these women will eschew the veil altogether. We shall see. The rural areas are easier to understand. The veil in the village is a sign of affluence. Poor women have to work, and cannot afford the luxury of seclusion. The moment there is upward mobility, a woman flaunts her new status by covering up. But there is one reason over which there was no dispute: the impact of Saudi Arabia. By now, millions of Bangladeshis have worked in Saudi. Among the first gifts sent home by those employed there seem to be burqas for their wives, mothers and mothers-in-law.How utterly enthralling to meet an unrepentant Stalinist.

Badruddin Umar was an academic, and is now a political activist and author of the Communist persuasion. His father, a colleague of Husain Shaheed Suhrawardy, was a prominent leader of the Muslim League and later the Awami League. He has written learned books on the historic language movement of Bengal for the Oxford University Press, which is the reason for my visit and the proposed subject of our conversation. Beside a portrait of his father in the drawing room is a line drawing of Stalin. I point out that Stalin is not quite a politically correct figure these days. "I admire him," he responds without ambiguity. "They say he killed a few million people. If I had been in his place I might have had to kill a few more," he adds with a chuckle.

Nothing personal; just historical necessity.There has apparently been some interference in the historical inevitability of a revolution in Bangladesh, and one man credited with the interference is the Nobel Prize winner Dr Mohammad Yunus, managing director of Grameen Bank whose micro-credit schemes have brought him world fame. Badruddin Umar would prefer to describe it as infamy. He thinks micro-credit is worse than the usury of the old mahajans, a fraud on the poor heavily disguised with capitalist hype. He quotes Yunus as admitting he charges 20% interest. In September 1991, Yunus apparently said, "Of course we charge 20% interest. If anyone considers it high, well it is high. I don’t feel much embarrassed by that. After all, we don’t force anyone to borrow from us". As Umar archly added, the old village usurers did not force anyone to borrow from them either. Grameen Bank also collects over 80 million taka as a fee from its members. "What is the ultimate destination of this money and the interest derived on it?" Good question.It remains to be noted that every single word of abuse from the classic Marxist dictionary — imperialism, reactionary, bourgeois et al — is included in the monograph published by Badruddin Umar.

Is a permanent traffic jam a sign of prosperity or despair? Both: there is a new prosperous class able to buy cars, and a government that is unable to provide the infrastructure. You cannot have traffic chaos without an urban middle class ready to spend good money on vehicles, although the city’s rickshaws can do a fairly competent job of snarling up all activity given half a chance. It has reached a point where the sensible stay in their part of the city. No one disputes traffic as an excuse for delay, which provides a lot of leeway to those who simply got up late. You can recognise the city only on the weekly holidays.

The only solution that one could think of was to increase the weekly holidays to three, and give them on alternate days, with an additional twist. Half the city would get a holiday on one day, and the other half on the next. Only half the working population would work on any working day. Its productivity would probably double.This has to be the most useless secret of all time.

The British high commissioner to Bangladesh sent out an invitation for dinner for a select, elite group. Nothing unusual, for high commissioners dine often and well in the service of their nation. There was a curious lacuna though: the name of the guest in whose honour the dinner was being given was missing. Why? Security reasons. The guest of honour was the visiting British foreign secretary David Miliband. How did everyone know? Because the British foreign secretary’s face was in the morning’s papers, that’s how. There is something ludicrous about the current security paranoia. Did the securitywallahs at the British high commission seriously believe that one of their guests for dinner was an undercover terrorist who would leak delicate details of the prospective meal to a gang of unnamed terrorists in masks? I don’t know if anyone turned pale with fear after receiving the invitation, but I do know that a lot of people could not stop laughing.